Sunday, August 31, 2008

Useful Gustav Links

WWL-TV is now being carried on all Louisiana Public Broadcasting affiliates, and streamed online:
http://www.lpb.org/programs/hurricanes/

WWL AM/FM/TV, New Orleans:
http://www.wwl.com/
http://www.wwlhurricanecentral.com/
http://www.wwltv.com/
http://www.beloblog.com/WWLTV_Blogs/weather/

LA Emergency Numbers:
http://www.loep.state.la.us/parish/parishoepnumbers.htm
http://wwlhurricanecentral.com/pages/581328.php

Hurricane Watch Net Status:
http://www.hwn.org/Net%20Activation%20Plans/NetActivationPlan.htm

Hurricane Gustav Advisory #29

000
WTNT32 KNHC 312039
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE DRY TORTUGAS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.4 N...87.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

US Army Corps Of Engineers Log

WUK437, Los Angeles, sounding on 5015.0, 5400.0, 5437.5, and 5400 kHz USB ALE.

Other possible USACE freqs worth trying are 3345.0, 5327.0, 6020.0, 6785.0, 9122.5, 11693.5, 12070.0, 12122.0, 12267.0, 16077.0, 16326.0, 16358.0, 16382.0, and 20659.0, all USB ALE.

The USACE is responsible for levees and flood walls in the Louisiana area.

TCPOD for 1 Sep 08

000
NOUS42 KNHC 311230
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0830 AM EDT SUN31 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O1/1100Z TO 02/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-092

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE GUSTAV
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 73
A. 01/2100,02/0000,0300Z
B. AFXXX 2807A GUSTAV
C. 01/1745Z
D. 29.1N 90.8W
E. 01/2000Z TO 02/0300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. TROPICAL STORM HANNA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 76
A. 01/1600Z
B. AFXXX 0208A HANNA
C. 01/1300Z
D. 23.70N 71.6W
E. 01/1500Z TO 01/1900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE 6-HRLY FIXES ON
HANNA BEGINNING AT 02/1800Z. A POOSIBLE G-IV
MISSION FOR 03/0000Z WITH TAKEOFF 02/1730Z.

4. REMARKS: G-IV MISSION WITH 01/0530Z TAKEOFF CANCELED.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

Hurricane Gustav Advisory #28A

[As NHC says, the "weakening" is too soon to tell. It could just be an eyewall replacement cycle. -Hugh]

----------------

000
WTNT32 KNHC 311750
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
100 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EXCEPT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES... 520 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 60 MPH... 97 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 78 MPH...126 KM/HR.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...25.9 N...86.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Pre-Gustav FEMA ALE Logs

All heard in Southern California. Times UTC.

30 Aug 08:

6809.0 FC8FEM SND 22:48:40
7348.0 FC8FEM SND 20:48:29
7806.4 FC8FEM SND 22:47:33
8050.0 FC8FEM SND 20:48:15
9462.0 FC8FEM SND 20:47:58
9462.0 FC6 SND 21:10
9462.0 FC8FEM SND 21:48:28
10194.0 FC6 SND 21:10
10588.0 FC8FEM SND 20:47:33
11108.0 FC6 SND 22:10:47
11217.0 043NCS SND 20:40:23
12216.0 FC8FEM SND 20:47:11
12216.0 FC6 SND 21:10
13446.0 FC8FEM SND 20:46:56
13446.0 FC6 SND 21:10
13446.0 FR5FEM SND 22:18:31
14450.0 FC6 SND 23:09:59
14776.0 FC8FEM SND 20:46:41
14776.0 FC6 SND 21:10

FEMA regions:

5 Chicago
6 Maynard, MA
8 Denver

New Orleans Evacuation Begins

Daily News:

Mayor Nagin orders mandatory evacuation of New Orleans

BY HELEN KENNEDY
DAILY NEWS STAFF WRITER

Updated Sunday, August 31st 2008, 1:51 AM

NEW ORLEANS - Haunted by memories of Katrina's wrath, the people of the Big Easy fled Hurricane Gustav Saturday, lining up for buses and jamming the roads ahead of a mandatory evacuation ordered for 8 a.m. Sunday morning.

...

I-10 headed west was a parking lot. Motels were booked up as far away as Oklahoma.

Gustav, set to start battering the city tomorrow night or Tuesday morning, unexpectedly gained near-Category 5 strength as it pummeled Cuba's mainland Saturday.

Saturday, August 30, 2008

2008 Hurricane Frequency List

This list duplicates the one that is always linked from this blog:

2008 Hurricane Frequencies
By Hugh Stegman NV6H

(Last Update 21 Jul 08)

Please delete older copies of this list!
They only propagate errors across the Internet.


All those funny x.1 frequencies used by US Air Force MARS have been changed back to x.0, and appropriate corrections have been made.

Added the Caribbean Weather Center daily net (http://www.caribwx.com/ssb.html).

Finally dropped the two remaining US military weather freqencies, as they've been quiet for several years. If they come back from the dead, as they did the last time I dropped them, I'll put them back.

SECURE is not dead, it's just spotty depending on the state. SHARES Coordination Net freqs appear to be somewhat in flux, as they try different digital modes (mostly PACTOR and ALE).

Amateur nets move around. Just tune the band for anyone obviously using procedures. 20 meters above 14100 is prime hunting territory in day time, and 75 meter LSB is common at night. Some move to 21 MHz in the local afternoon hours, conditions permitting. Maybe we'll get some sunspots one of these years. 2008, however, is not the year. We're in a double minimum.

Submit corrections/additions to utilityworld@ominous-valve.com.

490.0 NAVTEX alternate
518.0 (Sitor-B) US Coast Guard, Navigational Telex (NAVTEX)
1984.0 (LSB) Virgin Islands/ Antilles/ PR
2054.0 (Fax) US Coast Guard, Kodiak, AK
2082.5 Intership Safety and Operational Comm, all areas.
^Also, Intership non-commercial fishing.
2182.0 Maritime voice calling and distress, wx announcement ch
2174.5 (Teleprinting) NBDP Distress and Safety
2177.0 (DSC) Coast Stations and Intership DSC Calling
2187.5 (DSC) Digital Selective Calling Safety/Distress(GMDSS)
2203.0 Intership Safety and Operational Communications.
^Gulf of Mexico
|Also, Intership non-commercial fishing.
2214.0 Intership Safety/ Operational Comm, all areas
2326.0 State Emergency Management ALE/USB (Operation Secure)
2371.0 CAP, all regions
2374.0 CAP, all regions
2411.0 State Emergency Management USB (Operation Secure)
2414.0 State Emergency Management ALE/USB (Operation Secure)
2419.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2422.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2439.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2463.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2466.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2471.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2474.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2487.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2500.0 WWV wx h+8, 9, 10; WWVH wx h+48, 49, 50, 51
2511.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2535.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2569.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2582.0 ZBM - St. George's Harbor Radio, Bermuda
2587.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2638.0 Intership Safety/ Operational Comm, all areas
2670.0 US Coast Guard, MSI broadcasts, announced on 2182
^U.S. Coast Guard Liaison and Maritime Safety
|Broadcasts, Also Intership Safety and Operational
|Communications in all areas
2738.0 Intership Safety/ Operational Comm
^all areas except Great Lakes. Shared with aircraft.
2801.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2802.4 Red Cross F-91 (may be carrier freq for above)
2804.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
2812.0 State Emergency Management ALE/USB (Operation Secure)
2830.0 Intership Safety / Operational Comm
^ Gulf of Mexico only. Shared with aircraft.
2872.0 MWARA NAT net
2958.5 US Navy New Orleans
3023.0 US Coast Guard SAR
3047.0 Canadian Forces MACS
3122.0 US Coast Guard, safety of flight
3130.0 US Navy FACSFAC Jacksonville, FL "Sea Lord"
3171.4 Red Cross disaster (F-92)
3202.0 State Emergency Management ALE/USB (Operation Secure)
3216.0 SHARES Regional Coord Net (Night Primary)
3303.0 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-1
3341.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-6,"
3361.0 SHARES Regional Coord Net (Night Alt)
3388.0 FEMA
3455.0 MWARA CAR net
3573.0 (CW) Carolinas Net
3622.5 (Fax) JMH, Tokyo, weather charts at 0110 and 1910
3710.0 (LSB) Puerto Rico
3815.0 (LSB) Caribbean Net (Alt on 3940 S. FL, 3950 N FL)
^ WX4NHC/NHW lists this as a night alt freq
3815.0 (LSB) Inter-island 75 meter frequency (24 hr)
3818.0 (LSB) Caribbean
3820.0 (LSB) Maryland Emergency Phone Net
3823.0 (LSB) Amateur use w/MS Red Cross in Katrina
3845.0 (LSB) Gulf Coast West, often takes H&W
3862.0 (LSB) GULF COAST H&W
3862.5 (LSB) Mississippi Section Voice Traffic Net
3865.0 (LSB) West Virginia Emergency Net
3873.0 (LSB) Regional ARES Emergency Frequency
^West Gulf ARES Emergency Net (Night)
|Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Net
|Magnolia Section Net
|Louisiana ARES Net
|Lousiana Emergency & Tactical Traffic Net (Night)
|Mississippi Emergency & Tactical Traffic Net (Night)
|North Texas Section ARES
|Texas Emergency & Tactical Traffic Net (Night)
|Texas Traffic Net
|Night Primary and Gulf Coast common tactical
3905.0 (LSB) Hawaii, Delaware
3907.0 (LSB) Coastal Carolina Emergency Net Dy 0000
3910.0 (LSB) Regional Emergency Primary Channel:
^ Virginia primary (alt 7360)
| Mississippi ARES, Louisiana Traffic Net,
| West Central Florida Section Net,
| Central Texas Emergency Net
3911.0 (LSB) West Central Florida SKYWARN Net
3913.0 (LSB) NY State
3915.0 (LSB) South Carolina Emergency/Traffic Nets
3915.0 (LSB) Massachusetts/Rhode Island
3917.0 (LSB) E Pennsylvania
3923.0 (LSB) North Carolina Evening Net
3923.0 (LSB) Tar Heel Emergency Net (alt 7232)
3923.0 (LSB) Mississippi ARES
^ Always good for SE US H&W
3925.0 (LSB) Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Net
3925.0 (LSB) Louisiana/Gulf/SW emergency alternate
3927.0 (LSB) North Carolina Morning Net, ARES
3930.0 (LSB) Gulf Coast Hurricane Net alternate
3930.0 (LSB) Louisiana
3930.0 (LSB) North Texas Emergency Net
3933.0 (LSB) Panhandle Traffic Emergency Net Dy 0000
3935.0 (LSB) Belize
3935.0 (LSB) Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Net
3935.0 (LSB) Health & Welfare Traffic Net (Night)
^ARES Section H&W Frequency for
| Louisiana, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas
| Also Alabama Tactical Use
3937.0 (LSB) W. Massachusetts
3940.0 (LSB) Florida Voice Traffic Net
3940.0 (LSB) South Florida ARES Net
3940.0 (LSB) Tropical Voice Traffic Net
3940.0 (LSB) SATERN Alternate
3944.0 (LSB) West Gulf Emergency Net
3945.0 (LSB) Katrina Outbound Health & Welfare
3947.0 (LSB) Virginia health & welfare (alt 7240)
3950.0 (LSB) Northern Florida ARES Net
3950.0 (LSB) National Hurricane Watch, occasional night
3955.0 (LSB) South Texas Emergency Net
3957.0 (LSB) Louisiana State EOC
3960.0 (LSB) Northeast Coast Hurricane Net
3965.0 (LSB) Alabama Emergency Net
3965.0 (LSB) Alabama Traffic Net F-"Mike"
^ Alabama Katrina Alt
3967.0 (LSB) Gulf Coast Outgoing Traffic Net
3975.0 (LSB) District 32 RACES Net (Alt in TX)
3975.0 (LSB) Georgia ARES
3980.0 (LSB) SE Virginia ARES
3987.5 (LSB) Mexico (Spanish)
3993.5 (LSB) Regional Common Frequency
^ NY State RACES, KY ARES, SC ARES,
| Gulf Coast Health & Welfare Primary
4003.0 Bahamas Air Sea Rescue, WX broadcasts dy 1100
4045.0 Caribbean Weather Center, 1030, 1200
4055.0 Federal Aviation Administration, RCOM HF net
4125.0 Maritime clg and distress freq, some weather info
4125.0 USCG calling/watchkeeping (simplex)
4146.0 Maritime simplex channel 4A
4149.0 Maritime simplex channel 4B
4207.5 International DSC Channel
4209.5 (Sitor-B) International NAVTEX, like 518 kHz
4210.0 (Sitor-B) International marine safety information
4235.0 (Fax) USCG Boston, MA, weather fax, eve/night
4271.1 (Fax) CF, Halifax, NS, hourly charts, RTTY rest of hr.
^Freq is nominal; your dial/window may vary
4298.0 (Fax) USCG NOJ, Kodiak, AK, all scheduled hours
4316.0 (USB) USCG NMG, New Orleans, LA, voice weather fcsts
^ 0330, 0515, 0930, 1115, 1530, 1715, 2130, 2315
4317.9 (Fax) USCG, New Orleans, LA, all scheduled hours
4346.0 (Fax) USCG, Pt. Reyes, CA, night weather charts
4372.0 US Navy FACSFAC VACAPES, VA, "Giant Killer"
4369.0 WLO traffic & weather
4426.0 USCG, SCN net duplex, ships call on 4134
4426.0 USCG NMN Portsmouth, VA, Atlantic WX 0330 0515 0930
4426.0 USCG NMC Pt. Reyes, CA, Pacific WX 0430 1030
4460.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
4466.0 CAP, NE US Primary, SE Alternate
4469.0 CAP, Gulf Coast Hurricane Net, SE Pri, NE Alt
4490.0 SHARES National Coord Net (ALE/USB)
4506.0 CAP, N. Central US Primary
4513.0 SHARES Regional Coordination Network (Night Alt)
4557.1 USAF MARS phone patch net, night calling freq
4573.0 SHARES National Net (Alt USB)
4582.0 CAP, National Clg & Emergency, Pacific Alternate
^SHARES Use in Katrina
4583.5 CAP, Tuesday hurricane nets 2100 local in season
4585.0 CAP, Pacific & Mid-East (Atlantic) Primary
4601.0 CAP, Rocky Mtn. Primary, Great Lakes Alternate
4604.0 CAP, Great Lakes Primary, Rocky Mtn. Alternate
4640.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
4627.0 CAP, Southwest US Primary
4709.0 USAF HF-GCS, Sigonella
4724.0 USAF HF-GCS Primary
4780.0 FEMA
4813.5 USCG emergency, Guam (alternate)
4821.0 Federal Agencies Net, Region 7 (old FHWA hwy net F-14)
4900.0 USAF hurricane net on Eastern Test Range
4960.0 Louisiana National Guard
5000.0 WWV wx h+8, 9, 10; WWVH wx h+48, 49, 50, 51
5008.0 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-2
5135.0 SECURE Gulf Coast net ALE/USB
5136.4 Red Cross F-93
5140.0 SECURE Florida net ALE.USB
5141.4 Red Cross F-94
5142.6 USCG 7th District SAR
5192.0 State Emergency Management (Operation SECURE)
5195.0 State Emergency Management (Operation SECURE)
5203.5 US Army National Guard
5211.0 National Emergency Coordination Net night primary, also
FEMA "Foxtrot 11," USB/LSB
5236.0 SHARES Co-ordination Network Ch-1 (night voice primary)
5302.0 FEMA, probably urban search and rescue
5320.0 USCG Groups, Miami, FL, and Portsmouth, VA; CG Auxiliary
Galveston CG use in Katrina
5350.0 USAF hurricane net on Eastern Test Range
5400.0 USCG, Puerto Rico
5402.0 FEMA
5422.5 USCG Auxiliary
5432.0 USCG, hvy CAMSLANT use in Dennis '99
5520.0 MWARA CAR net
5550.0 New York ATC
5680.0 Maritime calling and distress frequency
5692.0 USCG air-air, Navy, possibly also FEMA
5696.0 USCG air-ground/safety of flight
5696.0 USCG Safety of Flight, search and rescue, busy channel
5710.0 USAF, weather recon heard here
5711.0 SHARES Co-ordination Network Ch-4 (ALE)
5717.0 CanForce safety of flight/SAR, their version of 5696
5732.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN (Scan-1)
5755.0 Federal Agencies Net, Region 7 (old FHWA hwy net F-23)
5821.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-14"
5847.0 US National Guard ALE/USB
5848.0 US Army Corps of Engineers
5901.0 SHARES National Net (Night Alt)
6106.0 FEMA
6215.0 Maritime calling and distress frequency
6215.0 USCG calling/watchkeeping (simplex)
6221.0 Caribbean Weather Center, 1330
6224.0 Maritime simplex channel Ch. 6A
6227.0 Maritime simplex channel Ch. 6B
6227.0 Cruiseheimer's Net (winter/alt fq), dy 1230
6230.0 Maritime simplex channel Ch. 6C
6264.3 Kodiak, AK, WX
6312.0 International DSC Channel
6314.0 (Sitor-B) USCG, Boston, MA, Atlantic at 0140
6340.5 (Fax) USCG, Boston, MA, all scheduled hours
6341.7 (Sitor-B) WLO, weather at 0345
6456.0 (Fax) CF, Victoria, BC, 0245, 1025, 1515, and 2115
6496.4 (Fax) CF, Halifax, NS, hourly charts, RTTY rest of hr.
6501.0 USCG, SCN net duplex, ships call on 6200
6501.0 USCG, NRV, Guam, Pacific WX 0930 1530
6501.0 USCG, NMO, Honolulu, HI, Pacific WX 0600 1200
6501.0 USCG, NOJ, Kodiak, AK, Pacific WX 0203 and 1645
6501.0 USCG, NMN, Portsmouth, VA, Atlantic WX 0330, 0515, 0930,
1115, 1530, 2130, and 2315
6519.0 WLO, frequent wx broadcasts
6577.0 MWARA CAR net
6586.0 New York ATC
6712.0 USAF HF-GCS alt
6723.0 US Navy FACSFAC Jacksonville, FL "Sea Lord"(also 6742.0)
6724.0 USAF HF-GCS alt
6739.0 USAF HF-GCS Primary
6742.0 US Navy FACSFAC Jacksonville, FL "Sea Lord"
6785.0 US Army Corps Of Engineers
6800.0 SHARES Coordination Network (PACTOR BBS)
6809.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-21" channel: urban search and rescue,
Caribbean relief
6826.0 Army MARS
6859.5 Red Cross F-95
6870.0 FAA Southern Region
6985.0 US Army Corps of Engineers ALE/USB
6999.0 US Army MARS alternate guard fq
7055.0 (LSB) Mexican Hurricane Net (Spanish)
7060.0 (LSB) Mexican Health & Welfare (Spanish)
7070.0 (LSB) Baja California N & S (Spanish)
7090.0 (LSB) Central America Emergency Net (Spanish)
7105.0 (LSB) Cuban use in Michelle
7110.0 (LSB) Cuba
7145.0 (LSB) Bermuda
7158.0 (LSB) Caribbean Net dy 0000
7165.0 (LSB) Caribbean Inter-Island Watch Freq
7225.0 (LSB) Central Gulf Coast Hurricane
7228.0 (LSB) Kentucky
7230.0 (LSB) SW US Traffic Net
7232.0 (LSB) Tar Heel Emergency Net (Alt)
7235.0 (LSB) Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Net
7235.0 (LSB) Regional Emergency Hurricane Frequency
^ Louisiana Emergency Net
| Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Net
| West Virginia
7238.0 (LSB) Baja California Maritime Net dy 1500/1600
7240.0 (LSB) American Red Cross Gulf Coast Emergency - PRIMARY
7240.0 (LSB) Virginia Health & Welfare (Alt)
7240.0 (LSB) Texas Emergency Net
7241.0 (LSB) Caribbean Maritime Mobile Net, St. Croix, dy 1100
^(7230 - 7240)
7242.0 (LSB) S. Florida Emergency Net (Alt)
7242.0 (LSB) Florida Mid-day Net
7242.0 (LSB) Tropical Traffic Net
7243.0 (LSB) Alabama Emergency Net
7243.0 (LSB) SC Emergency Net
7245.0 (LSB) Southern Louisiana Emergency Net
7245.0 (LSB) NY State RACES
7247.0 (LSB) SE US Emergency
^ N. Florida ARES, etc
7248.0 (LSB) Texas RACES, Primary Tactical Freq
7250.0 (LSB) Salvation Army SATERN Sat 1700
7250.0 (LSB) Belize
7250.0 (LSB) Texas
7254.0 (LSB) N. Florida Emergency Net
7255.0 (LSB) Old Emergency Calling Freq
7255.0 (LSB) East Coast Amateur Radio Svc (ECARS)
7260.0 (LSB) West Gulf Coast Hurricane Net (Alt)
7260.0 (LSB) Virginia Emercency Net (Alt)
7264.0 (LSB) Gulf Coast Health & Welfare (Alt)
7265.8 (LSB) Salvation Army SATERN (Alt) Sat 1630
7268.0 (LSB) Waterway Net secondary/ Maritime Mobile Net
^ WX4NHC lists this as a secondary freq
7273.0 (LSB) Texas ARES (Alt) use in past
7275.0 (LSB) Georgia
7280.0 (LSB) Louisiana alternate fq in past
7283.0 (LSB) Gulf Coast Outgoing Health & Welfare
7285.0 (LSB) Primary Regional Daytime Frequency
^ West Gulf Emergency Net
| Louisiana Emergency Net
| Mississippi Emergency Net
| Texas Emergency Net
| Heavy use in Katrina
7290.0 (LSB) Primary Regional Daytime H&W/WX Freq
^ Central Gulf Coast Hurricane Net
| Texas ARES (Primary Health & Welfare)
| Louisiana ARES (Pri H&W)
| Mississippi ARES (Pri H&W)
| Gulf Coast Weather Net
7294.0 (LSB) Chubasco Net dy 1530
7299.0 (LSB) South Pacific Sailing Net Dy 1700
7305.0 (Fax) JMH, Tokyo, weather charts at 0110 and 1910
7341.0 CAP, National Packet Radio Channel (Digital)
7348.0 FEMA
7373.5 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-3
7381.0 SHARES - US Navy MARS
7412.0 USAF hurricane net on Eastern Test Range
7477.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
7475.0 Federal Aviation Administration, southeast
7480.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
7507.0 USCG and Navy Hurricane Warning Net, Puerto Rico
7508.5 Federal Aviation Administration, Caribbean hurricane net
7527.0 (ALE/USB) Customs Over The Horizon Enforcement Net
(COTHEN Scan-2)
7528.6 USCG Auxiliary (likely same freq as 7527)
7540.0 SHARES - US Air Force MARS
7550.5 Red Cross F-96 (Primary)
7552.1 SHARES - NTA
7582.0 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-4
7632.0 SHARES National Coord Net (Night Pri)
7633.6 USAF MARS phone patch net, night calling freq
7635.0 CAP, National Calling & Emergency
7635.0 SHARES - CAP Command Net
7650.0 US Army National Net ALE/USB
7697.0 Red Cross F-97
7743.0 Federal Agencies Net, Region 7 (old FHWA hwy net F-28)
7773.5 USCG, Caribbean use
7802.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
7805.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
7850.0 Caribbean Police Net per Rick Baker
7920.0 CAP, all regions
7932.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
7935.0 State Emergency Management (Operation Secure)
8047.0 US National Guard ALE/USB
8093.0 US Army National Guard, all regions
8104.0 Caribbean Weather Center, 1230
8125.0 Federal Aviation Administration, east
8137.0 Caribbean Weather Center, 1100
8152.0 Cruiseheimer's Net (Summer fq), US East Coast & E Car, dy 1230
8156.0 Royal Bahamas Defence Force (coast guard & police)
8158.0 NW Caribbean Cruiser's Net, dy 1400
^Mexico to San Andres Island, Colombia
8160.0 USCG, Caribbean use
8184.5 US Army Air Net ALE/USB
8291.0 Maritime calling and distress frequency
8291.0 USCG calling/watchkeeping (Simplex)
8294.0 Maritime simplex channel 8A
8294.0 Alt. frequency for "Herb" Southbound II net
8297.0 Maritime simplex channel 8B
8414.5 International DSC Channel
8416.5 (Sitor-B) USCG, Boston, MA, Atlantic WX at 0140 and 1630
8416.5 (Sitor-B) USCG, Honolulu, HI, Pac WX at 0130, 1330, 2030
8416.5 (Sitor-B) USCG CAMSPAC Pt. Reyes, WX at 0015 and 1800
8459.0 (Fax) USCG, Kodiak, AK, all scheduled hours
8502.0 (USB) USCG, New Orleans, LA, voice weather fcsts
^0330, 0515, 0930, 1115, 1530, 1715, 2130, 2315
8503.9 (Fax) USCG, New Orleans, LA, all scheduled hours
8682.0 (Fax) USCG. Pt. Reyes, all scheduled hours
8764.0 USCG, SCN net duplex, ships call on 8240
8764.0 USCG, Honolulu, HI, Pac WX at 0005, 0600, 1200, 1800
8764.0 USCG, Portsmouth, VA, Atlantic WX at 0330, 0515, 0930,
1115, 1530, 1715, 2130, and 2315
8764.0 USCG CAMSPAC Pt. Reyes, Pac WX 0430, 1030, 1630, 2230
8788.0 WLO traffic & weather
8846.0 New York Radio, frequent use with TEAL hurricane hunters
8912.0 COTHEN Scan-3 (always busy in hurricane relief) ALE/USB
8918.0 MWARA CAR net
8933.0 New York LDOC, given as sec to TEAL 66 for CNN patch
8968.0 USAF (no longer HF-GCS)
8983.0 USCG Safety of Flight, search and rescue, busy channel
8992.0 USAF HF-GCS Primary
9064.0 SHARES National Coord Net (Night Alt)
9074.5 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-5
9081.5 US Army ALE/USB
9106.0 SHARES Coordination Network Ch. 5 (ALE)
9110.0 (Fax) USCG, Boston, MA, all scheduled hours
9180.0 Mexican Navy
9185.0 Federal Agencies Net, Region 7 (old FHWA hwy net F-31)
9197.0 SHARES - Federal Highway Administration
9122.5 USACE emergency use
9380.0 USCG and US Navy Hurricane Warning Net, Puerto Rico
9970.0 (Fax) JMH, Tokyo, weather charts at 0110 and 1910
9982.5 (Fax) NOAA/ DoD, Honolulu, HI weather charts, night
10000.0 WWV wx h+8, 9, 10; WWVH wx h+48, 49, 50, 51
10194.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-25" ALE/USB/LSB
10202.0 USAF discrete
10242.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-4
10305.0 USAF hurricane net on Eastern Test Range
10493.0 National Emergency Coordination Net day primary, also
FEMA "Foxtrot-26", and SHARES, USB/LSB
10506.0 (RTTY) CF, Halifax
10536.0 (Fax) CF, Halifax, NS, hourly charts, RTTY rest of hr.
10586.5 SHARES - new SCN channel Xray Foxtrot
10588.0 FEMA /USCG/ always busy in hurricanes ALE/USB/LSB
10780.0 USAF, Cape Radio, FL, and HF-GCS backup
10816.5 USCG National Net ALE/USB
10891.0 SHARES - Federal Highway Administration
10935.0 USCG, others, in Caribbean disaster ops
11028.0 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-6
11090.0 (Fax) NOAA/ DoD, Honolulu, HI, days
11175.0 USAF, HF-GCS Primary
11181.0 USAF discrete, also Teal use in past
11202.0 US Coast Guard Safety of Flight
11217.0 SHARES Co-ordination Network Ch-6 (ALE)
11220.0 USAF discrete
11226.0 USAF, weather aircraft heard here
11230.0 British military, relief use in Bahamas
11246.0 US Air Force discrete for 53rd WRS ("Teal")
11309.0 New York ATC
11342.0 New York LDOC, used by TEAL 66 to patch CNN
11387.0 MWARA CAR net
11396.0 MWARA CAR net
11494.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-5
12087.0 National Guard Net ALE/USB
12178.7 Federal Agencies Net, Region 7 (old FHWA hwy net F-41)
12216.0 FEMA
12290.0 Maritime calling and distress frequency
12290.0 USCG calling/watchkeeping (Simplex)
12350.0 Caribbean Weather Center, 1300
12353.0 Maritime simplex channel 12A
12356.0 Maritime simplex channel 12B
12359.0 Maritime simplex channel 12C
12359.0 Primary frequency for "Herb" ex-Southbound II, Dy 2000
^Famous Herb Hilgenberg weather net for small vessels
|cruising Atlantic and Caribbean. Takes check-ins
|starting 1930, may reach into Pacific late in the net,
|conditions permitting.
12362.0 Maritime simplex channel 12D
12365.0 Maritime simplex channel 12E
12412.5 (Fax) USCG, Kodiak, AK, all scheduled hours
12577.0 International DSC Channel
12579.0 (Sitor-B) USCG, Boston, MA, Atlantic WX at 0140 and 1630
12579.0 (Sitor-B) USCG, Honolulu, HI, Pac WX
12786.0 (Fax) USCG CAMSPAC Pt, Reyes, CA, all sched. hours
12750.0 (Fax) USCG, Boston, MA, day
12753.0 (Fax) CF, Victoria, BC, 0245, 1025, 1515, and 2115
12788.0 (USB) USCG, New Orleans, LA, voice weather fcsts
^0330, 0515, 0930, 1115, 1530, 1715, 2130, 2315
12789.9 (Fax) USCG, New Orleans, LA, all scheduled hours
13089.0 USCG, SCN net duplex, ships call on 12242
13089.0 USCG, Guam, Pacific WX at 0330 and 2130
13089.0 USCG, Honolulu, HI, Pacific WX at 0005 and 1800
13089.0 USCG, Portsmouth, VA, Atlantic WX at 1115, 1530, 1715,
2130, and 2315
13089.0 USCG CAMSPAC Pt Reyes, Pac WX at 0430, 1030, 1630, 2230
13110.0 WLO traffic & weather
13200.0 USAF, HF-GCS Primary
13204.0 USAF, possible discrete assigned for TEAL pp
13242.0 SHARES Co-ordination Network Ch-10
13245.0 Antigua and Antilles inter-island net
13270.0 NOAA a/c per John Winward
13297.0 MWARA CAR net
13330.0 New York ATC
13354.0 MWARA East Pacific net
13432.5 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-7
13434.0 Federal Agencies Net, Region 7 (old FHWA hwy net F-42)
13446.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-36" various modes
13457.0 SHARES primary - also Federal Aviation Administration
13510.0 (Fax) CF, Halifax, NS, hourly charts, RTTY rest of hr.
13626.0 Federal Aviation Administration, Gulf
13630.0 Federal Aviation Administration, west
13907.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-6
13910.5 US Army MARS emergency net
13927.0 USAF MARS calling & phone patch primary, some TEAL use
13977.0 USAF MARS phone patch net, administrative (Sun 1600)
13956.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-48", some NECN use (USB/LSB)
13960.0 USAF discrete
13993.0 SHARES - USAF MARS
13996.0 SHARES - US Army MARS primary guard fq
13997.0 (Fax) JMH, Tokyo, weather charts at 0110 and 1910
14118.0 'Le Reseau Du Capitaine' Net. Montreal, Canada.
^Most operators bilingual FF/EE, covers Atlantic,
|Pacific, Caribbean for WX and emergency tfc,
|dy 1100 & 2230
14121.0 Mississauga Maritime Mobile Net
^Covers Europe, Med, Atlantic, Caribbean and Central
|America, dy 1245
14185.0 Caribbean emergency frequency
14215.0 Pacific Inter-island Net (Alt)
14235.0 Pan-American Health Net
14260.0 UN Net
14265.0 Salvation Army SATERN Net Primary M-F 1400
14268.0 UN Radio Readiness Group
14270.0 Red Cross Net
14275.0 Now primarily a DX/Contest fq, though still listed Bermuda Net
14283.0 Friendly Caribus Connection ("FCC;" a Caribbean net)
14283.0 UN Relief Net
14293.0 Red Cross use
14300.0 Maritime Mobile Service Net Dy 1600
^Atlantic fm. Cape Town to Greenland, E. Pacific,
|Gulf. Dy 1600-0200 summer, 1700-0200 winter.
14300.0 US Coast Guard Amateur Radio Net S 1600/1700
14300.0 Maritime Mobile Service Net (daily)
14300.0 Intercontinental Net
14303.0 ARRL International Assistance & Traffic Net
14310.0 Maritime Emergency Net dy 0400
14313.0 Maritime Mobile Service Net Alternate-1
14313.0 US Coast Guard Amateur Radio Net S 1600
14315.0 Pacific Interisland Net Dy 0800
14315.0 Pacific Islands Disaster Net First Sun, 0100
14325.0 Hurricane Watch Net, primary fq, amateur and govt,
**********ALWAYS MONITOR THIS ONE*********
14327.0 US Coast Guard Amateur Radio Net S 1700/1800
14340.0 California-Hawaii Net M-F 1700
14340.0 Maritime Emergency Net dy 0400 & 1800
14340.0 Manana (Baja) Net M-Sat 1900
14383.5 SHARES - US Navy MARS
14389.0 USAF MARS calling & phone patch secondary
14390.5 MARS disaster operations
14391.5 US Navy MARS
14396.5 SHARES National Coord Net (Day Primary),
also old National Communications System
primary, all 23 agencies
14450.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-41," evac heard here
14455.0 SHARES National Coord Net (Day Alt)
14493.5 SHARES - Federal Bureau of Investigation
14567.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-39," NECN primary in past
14606.0 USAF MARS Phone Patch Net, old freq ACF
14653.0 US National Guard Net ALE/USB
14757.0 US Army Net ALE/USB
14776.0 FEMA
14836.0 FEMA "Foxtrot-43"
14898.5 SHARES Voice Alternate
14902.0 SHARES - CAP rescue and relief, all regions
15000.0 WWV wx h+8, 9, 10; WWVH wx h+48, 49, 50, 51
15016.0 USAF HF-GCS Primary
15088.0 USCG Air-Ground safety of flight
15094.0 SHARES Coordination Network Ch. 7 (ALE)
15867.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-7
16086.5 (Sitor-B) UCCG CAMSPAC MSI
16135.0 (Fax) US DoD, Honolulu, HI, all scheduled hours
16338.5 National Guard Net ALE/USB
16348.0 Federal Aviation Administration
16420.0 Maritime calling and distress frequency
16525.0 Caribbean Weather Center, 1320
16528.0 Maritime simplex channel 16A
16531.0 Maritime simplex channel 16B
16531.0 Alt. frequency for "Herb" Southbound II net
16534.0 Maritime simplex channel 16C
16804.5 DSC
16806.5 (Sitor-B) USCG, Boston, MA, Atlantic WX at 1630
16806.5 (Sitor-B) USCG, Kodiak, AK, Pacific WX at 1500
16806.5 (Sitor-B) USCG CAMSPAC Pt Reyes, Pac WX
17146.4 (Fax) USCG NMG New Orleans, Tropical WX 1715
17151.2 (Fax) USCG CAMSPAC Pt. Reyes, CA, all scheduled hours
17314.0 USCG, duplex, ships call on 16432
17314.0 USCG, Portsmouth, VA, Atlantic WX 1715
17314.0 USCG. Pt. Reyes, CA, Pacific WX at 1630 and 2230
17362.0 WLO traffic & weather
17421.0 US Department Of Transportation evacuation F-8
17487.0 SHARES Coordination Network Ch. 8 (ALE)
17907.0 MWARA CAR net
18205.0 CAP, Alaska
18220.0 (Fax) JMH, Tokyo, weather charts at 0110 and 1910
18594.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-8
18617.0 USAF MARS Phone Patch Net
18825.0 Maritime simplex channel 18A
18828.0 Maritime simplex channel 18B
18831.0 Maritime simplex channel 18C
18834.0 Maritime simplex channel 18D
18837.0 Maritime simplex channel 18E
18840.0 Maritime simplex channel 18F
18843.0 Maritime simplex channel 18G
18889.5 (Sitor-A) FEMA, maritime channel 39
19290.0 Unk. Federal
19680.5 (Sitor-B) International marine safety information
19757.0 Maritime channel 1802, FEMA hrd. here
20000.0 WWV wx h+8, 9, 10
20107.0 SHARES Coordination Network Ch. 7
20390.0 USAF Cape Radio Secondary, HF-GCS backup
20873.0 CAP, all regions
20890.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-9
20992.6 USAF MARS phone patch net, freq ACR
21400.0 Transatlantic net (amateur)
21402.0 Pacific Maritime Net Dy 2200 (amateur)
22159.0 Maritime simplex channel 22A
22162.0 Maritime simplex channel 22B
22165.0 Maritime simplex channel 22C
22168.0 Maritime simplex channel 22D
22171.0 Maritime simplex channel 22E
22376.0 International Sitor MSI frequency
22376.0 (Sitor-B) USCG, Guam, WX 0500, 1500, 1900, 2315
21390.0 Inter-Americas Net
21400.0 Atlantic Maritime Net
22527.0 (Fax) USCG CAMSPAC Pt. Reyes, day
22804.0 WLO traffic & weather
23214.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-10
23331.5 (Fax)US DoD Honolulu, HI, days
25350.0 (ALE/USB) COTHEN Scan-11
26100.5 International Sitor MSI frequency
26617.0 CAP, all regions
26620.0 CAP, all regions
26812.0 SHARES Coordination Network Ch. 8




Table #1: Selected ICAO/WMO Weather Office Identifiers

KAWN US Air Force Automated Weather Network
KGWC US Air Force Global Weather Center
KKCI Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO
KMKC US SIGMET office, Kansas City
KNGU US Navy Atlantic Weather Center, Norfolk VA
KNHC National Hurricane Ctr/Tropical Pred. Ctr, FL
KWBC NWS Central Operations, MD
KWBx Output from NWS models, per table below
KWNC Climate Prediction Center
KWNO Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO
KWNS Storm Prediction Center
PHNL Honolulu, HI
TJSJ San Juan, Puerto Rico



Abbreviations:

ARES Amateur Radio Emergency Service
ARRL American Radio Relay League
ATC Air Traffic Control
BBS Bulletin Board System
CAP Civil Air Patrol
CF Canadian Forces (CANFORCE)
CNN Cable News Network
COTHEN Customs Over-The-Horizon Enforcement Network
CW Continuous Wave telegraphy (Morse code)
DoD US Department of Defense
Dy Daily
FAA Federal Aviation Administration
FACSFAC Fleet Area Control & Surveillance Facility
FAX Facsimile, like in offices, only FM analog
FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency
FHWA Federal Highway Administration
G-TOR Golay Teleprinting Over Radio
HF-GCS High Frequency Global Communications System
IARN International Amateur Radio Network
LDOC Long Distance Operational Control
LSB Lower Sideband
MARS Military Affiliate Radio System
MSI Marine Safety Information
MWARA Major World Air Route Area
NAVTEX Navigational Telex, safety and NTM for ships
NCS National Communications System
NHC National Hurricane Center, Miami
NOAA National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration
NSEP National Security / Emergency Preparedness
NTA National Telecommunications Alliance, replacing
Bellcore
NTS National Traffic System (amateur)
PACTOR Packet Teleprinting Over Radio
RCC Rescue Coordination Center
RTTY Radio Teletype
SAR Search And Rescue
SATERN Salvation Army Team Emergency Radio Net
SCN System Coordination Net (USCG)
SECURE State Emergency Capability Using Radio Effectively
SHARES SHAred RESources
SIGMET SIGnificant METeorological aviation warnings
SITOR Simplex Telex Over Radio
TPC Tropical Prediction Center, Miami
USAF US Air Force
USACE US Army Corps of Engineers
USB Upper Sideband
USCG US Coast Guard
USN US Navy
WX Weather
WX4NHC New amateur call at NHC, ex-W4EHW


# # # #

Hurricane Gustav Special Advisory #24 (with update)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 301805
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...GUSTAV BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...WESTERN EYEWALL DIRECTLY IMPACTING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...ISLA DE JUVENTUD...MATANZAS...AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE OF VILLA CLARA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS.

INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST...NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH...OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY ON SUNDAY...AND REACH THE NORTHERN GULF BY MONDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION OF A SUSTAINED WIND OF 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE EITHER BEFORE OR SHORTLY AFTER CROSSING WESTERN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 23 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...21.6 N...82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.

THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB


000
WTNT82 KNHC 301803
TCVAT2

GUSTAV WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

.HURRICANE GUSTAV

FLZ078-302100-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W
SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W

$$

ATTN...WFO...KEY...

Gustav is Category 4 (NHC Special Update)

000
WTNT62 KNHC 301718
TCUAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
120 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008


DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT GUSTAV HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES GUSTAV AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT ABOUT 200 PM EDT TO MODIFY THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES. THE SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL TAKE THE PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED FOR THAT TIME.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

It's Getting Busy Out There (TCPOD #08-091)

000
NOUS42 KNHC 301515
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT SAT 30 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z AUGUST TO 01/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-091

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE GUSTAV
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 73 IS A BOUY DROP MISSION TAKING OFF
31/1100Z SFC TO 10,000 FT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 70
A. 31/1800,2100,01/0000Z
B. AFXXX 2207A GUSTAVV
C. 31/1530Z
D. 25.1N 86.2W
E. 31/1700 TO 01/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 49 IS A G-IV FLIGHT DEPARTING AT
31/1730Z.. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 42. IS A RESEARCH MISSION DEPARTING
31/2000Z 10,OOO TO 14,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE -- TEAL 71
A. 01/0300,0600,0900Z
B. AFXXX 2507A GUSTAV
C. 01/0030Z
D. 26.4N 87.9W
E. 01/0200Z TO 01/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT SIX -- 49 IS A G-IV MISSION DEPARTING AT 01/0530Z
41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT SEVEN -- NOAA 43 IS A RESEARCH MISSION DEPARTING
01/0800Z....10,OOO TO 14,000 FT

FLIGHT EIGHT -- TEAL 72
A. 01/1200,1500,1800Z
B. AFXXX 2807A GUSTAV
C. 01/0915Z
D. 27.8N 89.2W
E. 01/1100Z TO 01/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES.
A WP-3 FLIGHT EVERY 12 HRS.

3. TROPICAL STORM HANNA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 76
A. 31/1600Z
B. AFXXX 0108A HANNA
C. 31/1230Z
D. 23.0N 70.0W
E. 31/1500Z TO 31/1900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

4. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: FIX HANNA AT 01/1600Z

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

Hurricane Guatav Advisory #21

000
WTNT32 KNHC 300231
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008

...CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVING THROUGH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...AND VILLA CLARA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST.

INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF LITTLE CAYMAN ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA ON SATURDAY...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS...AND GUSTAVE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH 14 TO 19 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA...INCLUDING ISLA DE JUVENTUD.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THE RAINFALL THREAT WILL BE DIMINISHING ACROSS JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION FROM GUSTAV MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA DURING SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...19.5 N...80.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Friday, August 29, 2008

TCPOD for August 30/31

000
NOUS42 KNHC 291400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT FRI 29 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-090

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 30/1800, 31/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1507A GUSTAV
C. 30/1515Z
D. 21.7N 82.8W
E. 30/1700Z TO 31/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 31/0000Z
B. NOAA9 1607A GUSTAV
C. 30/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42
A. RESEARCH
B. NOAA2 1707A GUSTAV
C. 30/2000Z
D. NA
E. 30/2200Z TO 31/0200Z
F. 10,000 TO 14,000 FT

FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 72
A. 31/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1807A GUSTAV
C. 31/0330Z
D. 23.4N 84.7W
E. 31/0500Z TO 31/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 49
A. 31/1200Z
B. NOAA9 1907A GUSTAV
C. 31/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT SIX -- NOAA 43
A. RESEARCH
B. NOAA3 2007A GUSTAV
C. 31/0800Z
D. NA
E. 31/1000Z TO 31/1400Z
F. 10,000 TO 14,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES
AT 31/18Z. G-IV AND WP-3 MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.
FIX TROPICAL STORM HANNA AT 31/16Z.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

TCPOD For 29 Aug 08

000
NOUS42 KNHC 281430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 28 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-089

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72
A. 29/1800, 30/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1007A GUSTAV
C. 29/1515Z
D. 18.7N 79.9W
E. 29/1700Z TO 30/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 30/0000Z
B. NOAA9 1107A GUSTAV
C. 29/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42
A. RESEARCH
B. NOAA2 1207A GUSTAV
C. 29/2000Z
D. NA
E. 29/2200Z TO 30/0200Z
F. 10,000 TO 14,000 FT

FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 70
A. 30/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1307A GUSTAV
C. 30/0315Z
D. 19.6N 81.7W
E. 30/0500Z TO 30/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE
A. RESEARCH
B. NOAA3 1407A GUSTAV
C. 30/0800Z
D. NA
E. 30/1000Z TO 30/1400Z
F. 10,000 TO 14,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. A
G-IV TAKEOFF FOR 30/1730Z. WP-3 MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.

3. REMARKS: G-IV MISSION SCHEDULED FOR 28/1730Z TAKEOFF
CANCELED BY NHC AT 28/1300Z.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

T.S. Hanna Advisory #4

000
WTNT33 KNHC 290241
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2008

...HANNA STRENGTHENS NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HANNA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

HANNA'S SOUTHERN TRAILING RAIN BANDS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...21.1 N...60.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN

T.S. Gustav Discussion #17

000
WTNT42 KNHC 290301
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

THE CENTER OF GUSTAV HAS BEEN MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH COAST OF
JAMAICA DURING THE EVENING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE KINGSTON
AREA SHOWED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AND THE LOWEST OBSERVED
PRESSURE WAS 990 MB. GUSTAV IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF COLD
CONVECTIVE TOPS NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KT FROM TAFB AND 55 KT FROM SAB. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 60 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 270/6...AFTER A SOUTH OF
WEST MOTION FOR A FEW HOURS. GUSTAV IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT WESTERN ATLANTIC.
THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE FORECASTS GUSTAV TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD ON THE
SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 48 HR...THEN CONTINUE IN
A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 96 HR. THE GUIDANCE IS
RATHER TIGHTLY CLUSTERED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. AFTER 96
HR...THERE IS SOME SPREAD...AS THE DYNAMICAL MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON
WHETHER A RIDGE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF GUSTAV. THE
GFDL MOVES THE STORM QUICKLY INLAND...WHILE THE LATEST GFS RUN
SHOWS IT SLOWING DOWN OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. THE NOGAPS CALLS
FOR A LEFT TURN AFTER 96 HR TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST. THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE THAT IS DOWN
THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE TRACK IS SHIFTED ONLY
SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT AFTER 72 HR....WITH RELIABLE MODEL FORECASTS
REMAINING ON EITHER SIDE OF THE TRACK. SINCE TRACK FORECASTS ARE
ALWAYS SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS AT 3-5 DAYS...IT IS SIMPLY
IMPOSSIBLE AT THIS TIME TO DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE AND WHEN GUSTAV
WILL MAKE FINAL LANDFALL.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS PROBLEMATIC. GUSTAV IS SHOWING GOOD
OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS AT THIS TIME...BUT THERE IS EVIDENCE OF
NORTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR UNDERCUTTING THE OUTFLOW. THE LARGE-SCALE
MODELS SUGGEST THIS SHOULD SUBSIDE IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...WHICH WOULD
ALLOW SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE WARM
WATERS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. A COMPLICATING FACTOR IS THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THIS FEATURE TO
RETREAT WESTWARD AS GUSTAV APPROACHES...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF. HOWEVER...THE MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON
HOW MUCH THE TROUGH WILL MOVE...WITH THE UKMET IN PARTICULAR
SHOWING THE POSSIBILITY OF SHEAR AS GUSTAV APPROACHES THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THE SHIPS MODEL CALLS FOR A PEAK INTENSITY OF 99
KT...THE LGEM MODEL 94 KT...THE GFDL 111 KT...AND THE HWRF 137 KT.
THE LATTER IS DEFINITELY NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS INCREASED OVER THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN BEST AGREEMENT
WITH THE GFDL. HOWEVER...IT WOULD BE NO SURPRISE IF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION OCCURRED AND GUSTAV BECAME A CATEGORY 4 OR 5
HURRICANE BY 72 HR.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0300Z 17.8N 77.3W 60 KT
12HR VT 29/1200Z 18.3N 78.6W 60 KT
24HR VT 30/0000Z 19.1N 80.4W 75 KT
36HR VT 30/1200Z 20.4N 82.3W 90 KT
48HR VT 31/0000Z 21.9N 84.2W 100 KT...NEAR COAST OF CUBA
72HR VT 01/0000Z 25.5N 87.5W 110 KT
96HR VT 02/0000Z 28.5N 90.5W 100 KT
120HR VT 03/0000Z 30.0N 92.5W 90 KT...INLAND

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Thursday, August 28, 2008

New Orleans Emergency: Here We Go Again?

Reuters:

New Orleans considers evacuation as Gustav looms

Wed Aug 27, 2008 6:20pm EDT

By Kathy Finn

NEW ORLEANS, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Three years after Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Louisiana coast, New Orleans residents on Wednesday again faced the prospect of an evacuation as Tropical Storm Gustav loomed.

...

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal put New Orleans residents on alert, saying evacuations could begin as early as Friday.

City officials said New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin would order an evacuation if Gustav looked likely to come ashore with wind speeds over 111 miles per hour (178 kph) -- a Category 3 hurricane or higher on the 5-step Saffir-Simpson scale.

...

Jindal said he had activated the state's catastrophic action team and could declare a state of emergency as early as Thursday. He also has put the Louisiana National Guard on alert.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

T.S. Gustav Int. Advisory #10A

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271731
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

...GUSTAV GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...WEST OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 90 MILES... 145 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD PASS BETWEEN JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER OF GUSTAV VERY NEAR JAMAICA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE GUSTAV MOVES AWAY FROM HAITI...AND THE STORM COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...18.8 N...74.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH

-----------------

000
NOUS42 KNHC 271430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT WED 27 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-088

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV
FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 43
A. AXBT DEPLOYMENT
B. NOAA3 0707A GUSTAV
C. 28/1500Z
D. MIDDLE OF GULF OF MEXICO
E. NA
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 70
A. 28/1800, 29/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0807A GUSTAV
C. 28/1515Z
D. 19.2N 76.7W
E. 28/1700Z TO 29/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 49
A. 29/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0907A GUSTAV
C. 28/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 29/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1007A GUSTAV
C. 29/0315Z
D. 19.6N 78.4W
E. 29/0500Z TO 29/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. A
G-IV TAKEOFF FOR 29/1730Z. WP-3 MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS
BEGINNING AT 29/2000Z.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Labor Day Tropical Peak Is Here

000
WTNT32 KNHC 261442
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...GUSTAV APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BARAHONA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 240 MILES...390 KM ...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FORECAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK THIS HURRICANE SHOULD MOVE OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI LATER TODAY AND NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND TODAY. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHEN GUSTAV MOVES OVER HAITI...HOWEVER RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER APPROACHES EASTERN CUBA ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN CUBA...AND JAMAICA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...17.9 N...72.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

---------------------------------------

US42 KNHC 251445
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT MON 25 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-086

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72
A. 26/1800, 27/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE
C. 26/1445Z
D. 18.2N 72.7W
E. 26/1700Z TO 27/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO
A. 27/0000Z -- NOAA 49
B. NOAA9 0407A CYCLONE
C. 26/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE
A. RESEARCH -- NOAA 42
B. NOAA2 0507A CYCLONE
C. 26/2000Z
D. NA
E. 26/2300Z TO 27/0300Z
F. 10,000 TO 14,000 FT

FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 70
A. 27/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0607A CYCLONE
C. 27/0300Z
D. 19.3N 73.8W
E. 27/0530Z TO 27/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 43
A. RESEARCH
B. NOAA3 0707A CYCLONE
C. 27/0800Z
D. NA
E. 27/1000Z TO 27/1400Z
F. 10,000 TO 14,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. A
G-IV MISSION FOR 28/0000Z. P-3 MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP


000
NOUS42 KNHC 261400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT TUE 26 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-087

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE GUSTAV
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 27/1800, 28/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0507A GUSTAV
C. 27/1515Z
D. 19.1N 75.2W
E. 27/1700Z TO 28/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. 28/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0607A GUSTAV
C. 28/0315Z
D. 19.3N 76.6W
E. 28/0500Z TO 28/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES.

3. REMARKS: G-IV MISSION WITH A SCHEDULED 26/1730Z TAKEOFF
CANCELED AT 26/1110Z. P-3 MISSIONS SCHEDULED FOR 26/2000Z
AND 27/0800Z CANCELED AT 26/1300Z.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP


-------------------------------

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 72.4W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 72.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.6N 73.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.1N 74.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.3N 75.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.4N 77.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 80.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 83.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 24.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 72.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

Thursday, August 21, 2008

T.S. Fay Advisory #24A

000
WTNT31 KNHC 211750
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
200 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY BEGINNING TO CROSS THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NEAR FLAGLER BEACH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST...OR VERY NEAR FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEGUN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER FAY MOVES INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...91 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Fay Still Causing Problems At KSC

Aug. 20, 2008

Allard Beutel
Kennedy Space Center, Fla.
321-867-2468
allard.beutel@nasa.gov RELEASE: 19-08

NASA KENNEDY SPACE CENTER PARTLY REOPENS THURSDAY

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. - NASA's Kennedy Space Center, Fla., will reopen Thursday at 10 a.m. EDT for "mission essential" personnel. Kennedy has been closed since Tuesday because of Tropical Storm Fay, which is continuing to bring heavy rain and wind to the region.

Individual center supervisors will define which workers are considered "mission essential." These will include employees who are needed to ensure center infrastructure is safe and working, and personnel who process space flight hardware, such as space shuttles and Hubble Space Telescope equipment. A liberal leave policy for employees will be in effect Thursday. Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex will remain closed Thursday, but reopen on Friday.

Plans call for the center to open to all employees and return to full operation Friday.

Based on initial assessments, there are no injuries, damage to flight hardware or flooding associated with Fay at the center. Only minor damage has been seen on a few facilities, including the Vehicle Assembly Building which lost one exterior panel from its east side.

About 200 emergency personnel, known as a "ride-out crew", will remain on-site overnight into Thursday morning to provide real-time storm assessments.

Kennedy workers should check with the center's hurricane information phone line for the latest status: 321-861-7900 or 1-866-572-4877. Employees should check with their supervisors if they have not been notified about their Thursday work status.

Center storm updates also will be available online at the agency's emergency operation center Web site at: http://www.nasa.gov/eoc

Reporters also can hear the latest status by using Kennedy's media update phone line at 321-867-2525.

For information about Kennedy Space Center, visit:

http://www.nasa.gov/kennedy

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

T.S. Fay Advisory #20

000
WTNT31 KNHC 201444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY DRIFTING NORTHWARD DRENCHING PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FORT PIERCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF NEAR 16 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT SATELLITE BEACH JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...28.6 N...80.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Fay Still There, KSC Still Closed (Wednesday)

Aug. 20, 2008

Allard Beutel
Kennedy Space Center, Fla.
321-867-2468
allard.beutel@nasa.gov

RELEASE: 18-08

NASA KENNEDY SPACE CENTER REMAINS CLOSED WEDNESDAY

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. - NASA's Kennedy Space Center, Fla., will remain closed Wednesday because of the potential wind threat to workers from Tropical Storm Fay. Center managers decided Wednesday morning to keep Kennedy closed another day to general personnel through at least workers' second shift, which ends late Wednesday night.
Managers will reevaluate the situation at 11 a.m. EDT and update employees by noon through the center 's hurricane phone lines and the agency 's emergency operations Web site.
So far, there are no reports of any injuries or damage associated with Fay at the center.

Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex also remains closed Wednesday.

The storm is forecast to pass over Kennedy around mid-day and move off shore by the afternoon. The top sustained wind recorded at Kennedy overnight was about 66 mph with peak gusts about 77 mph. The center is forecast to experience tropical force wind through the afternoon.

About 200 emergency personnel, known as a "ride-out crew", are staying on site through out the storm. They will begin making initial damage assessments two hours after the sustained wind drops below 58 mph and if there is daylight. The ride-out team hopes that will be today, but it depends on Fay 's movement.

Kennedy workers should check with the center 's hurricane information phone line for the latest status: 321-861-7900 or 1-866-572-4877.

Center storm updates also will be available online at the agency 's emergency operation center Web site at: http://www.nasa.gov/eoc

Reporters also can hear the latest status by using Kennedy 's media update phone line at 321-867-2525.

For information about Kennedy Space Center, visit:
http://www.nasa.gov/kennedy

-end-

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

TCPOD Link Fixed

The link to the Tropical Cyclone Plan of the Day stopped working when the path to the file was changed for an unknown reason. I've changed it to a page at NHC (National Hurricane Center, FL) that collects a number of CARCAH (Chief, Aerial Reconnaissance, All Hurricanes, at NHC) and winter storm products. It's better, and probably far more reliable.

KSC Closed Tuesday for Fay

Aug. 19, 2008

Allard Beutel
Kennedy Space Center, Fla.
321-867-2468
allard.beutel@nasa.gov

Michael Curie
Headquarters, Washington
202-358-4715
Michael.curie@nasa.gov

RELEASE: 16-08

NASA'S KENNEDY SPACE CENTER CLOSES FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. -- NASA's Kennedy Space Center will be closed Tuesday, Aug. 19, because of the potential threat from Tropical Storm Fay. Current plans call for the center to be closed for 24 hours, starting with workers' first-shift Tuesday morning. Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex also is closed Tuesday.

Kennedy managers are scheduled to meet again at 5 p.m. EDT to reevaluate the storm's status and its impact on the center.

Fay made landfall Tuesday morning along Florida's southwest coast. It is forecast to affect Kennedy Tuesday afternoon with heavy rain and possible tropical storm force wind.

While most of Kennedy's almost 15,000 employees will not be at work, the center will have a small group of emergency personnel, known as a "ride-out crew," who will stay at the center to provide real-time assessments of the storm situation. There are about 200 people on the ride-out crew.

All three space shuttles have been secured in their Orbiter Processing Facilities. The shuttles have been powered down in their hangars and their payload bay doors have been closed to protect them from possible damage. Critical Hubble Space Telescope and International Space Station flight hardware has been protectively covered.

Kennedy workers should check with the center's hurricane information phone line for the latest status at 321-861-7900 or 1-866-572-4877

Center storm updates also will be available online at the agency's emergency operation center Web site at: http://www.nasa.gov/eoc

Reporters also can hear the latest status by using KennedyĆ¢€™s media update phone line at 321-867-2525.

For information about Kennedy Space Center, visit:
http://www.nasa.gov/kennedy

-end-

T.S. Fay Advisory #16

000
WTNT31 KNHC 191444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY IS NOT IN A HURRY TO CROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA...FLORIDA KEYS SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN REEF...AND FLORIDA BAY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES... 50 KM...EAST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA AND...20 MILES...30 KM SOUTHWEST OF MOORE HAVEN ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE OKECHOBBE.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IN EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY SHOULD MOVE OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FAY SHOULD WEAKEN TODAY AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND. SOME RESTRENGHTENING IS EXPECTED ONCE FAY MOVES BACK OVER WATER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA..WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...26.7 N...81.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM EDT AND 300 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Monday, August 18, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 12

000
WTNT31 KNHC 181438
TCPAT1 BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL062008 1100 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO COCOA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST EAST OF FLAMINGO... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA TO TARPON SPRINGS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR CUBA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...AND NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND FAY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE BEING REPORTED IN SOME PARTS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...23.6 N...81.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

$$ FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN