000
NOUS42 KNHC 111330
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT THU 11 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-103
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 12/2100,13/0000,0300Z
B. AFXXX 3309A IKE
C. 12/1845Z
D. 27.4N 93.7W
E. 12/2000Z TO 13/0300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 42
A. RESEARCH
B. NOAA2 3409A IKE
C. 12/2000Z
D. NA
E. NA
D. SFC TO 8,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 72X
A. 13/0600,0900,1200Z
B. AFXXX 3509A IKE
C. 13/0330Z
D. 28.4N 95.2W
E. 13/0500Z TO 13/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Thursday, September 11, 2008
Hurricane Ike Advisory #42A
000
WTNT34 KNHC 111755
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
100 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...LARGE HURRICANE IKE MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 470 MILES ...760 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE HAS MADE A SMALL JOG TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...25.8 N...88.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT34 KNHC 111755
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
100 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...LARGE HURRICANE IKE MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 470 MILES ...760 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE HAS MADE A SMALL JOG TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...25.8 N...88.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Houston, We Have A Problem (JSC Closes for Ike)
Sept. 11, 2008
Allard Beutel
Kennedy Space Center, Fla.
321-867-2468
allard.beutel@nasa.gov
Michael Curie
Headquarters, Washington
202-358-4715
michael.curie@nasa.gov
John Ira Petty
Johnson Space Center, Houston
281-483-5111
john.i.petty@nasa.gov
RELEASE: 08-230
NASA'S JOHNSON SPACE CENTER CLOSES FOR IKE
HOUSTON - NASA's Johnson Space Center will close at noon CDT Thursday and remain closed until the threat of Hurricane Ike has passed. Ike, a Category 2 hurricane in the western Gulf of Mexico, is expected to cross the Texas coast early Saturday as a Category 3 storm.
The International Space Station Flight Control Room at Mission Control in Houston was shut down Thursday morning. Station flight control continued through backup teams located near Austin, Texas, and Huntsville, Ala.
Most NASA aircraft at Ellington Field, located just north of Johnson, have been flown to a facility in El Paso, Texas. That includes 19 of 26 T-38s, a WB-57, and three of four shuttle training aircraft. Nine other aircraft are undergoing maintenance and have been secured in hangars at Ellington.
Johnson employees and journalists should call the Employee Information Line for updated news on the center's status. The local telephone number is 281-483-3351. If local communications are disrupted, employees can call a toll-free information line at 877-283-1947.
NASA has a Web site to convey important information to NASA employees and contractors impacted by Hurricane Ike at:
http://www.nasa.gov/eoc
-end-
Allard Beutel
Kennedy Space Center, Fla.
321-867-2468
allard.beutel@nasa.gov
Michael Curie
Headquarters, Washington
202-358-4715
michael.curie@nasa.gov
John Ira Petty
Johnson Space Center, Houston
281-483-5111
john.i.petty@nasa.gov
RELEASE: 08-230
NASA'S JOHNSON SPACE CENTER CLOSES FOR IKE
HOUSTON - NASA's Johnson Space Center will close at noon CDT Thursday and remain closed until the threat of Hurricane Ike has passed. Ike, a Category 2 hurricane in the western Gulf of Mexico, is expected to cross the Texas coast early Saturday as a Category 3 storm.
The International Space Station Flight Control Room at Mission Control in Houston was shut down Thursday morning. Station flight control continued through backup teams located near Austin, Texas, and Huntsville, Ala.
Most NASA aircraft at Ellington Field, located just north of Johnson, have been flown to a facility in El Paso, Texas. That includes 19 of 26 T-38s, a WB-57, and three of four shuttle training aircraft. Nine other aircraft are undergoing maintenance and have been secured in hangars at Ellington.
Johnson employees and journalists should call the Employee Information Line for updated news on the center's status. The local telephone number is 281-483-3351. If local communications are disrupted, employees can call a toll-free information line at 877-283-1947.
NASA has a Web site to convey important information to NASA employees and contractors impacted by Hurricane Ike at:
http://www.nasa.gov/eoc
-end-
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
Air Recon Taskings 9/11-12
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT WED 10 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-102
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 73 WILL DEPART 11/1215Z FOR A BUOY
DROP MISSION IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. AFXXX 2609A
IKE. SFC TO 10,000
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 70
A. 11/1800,12/0000Z
B. AFXXX 2709A IKE
C. 11/1530Z
D. 25.2N 89.7W
E. 11/1700Z TO 12/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 49 WILL BE A SURVEILLANCE MISSION
DEPARTING 11/1730Z. NOAA9 2809A IKE. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 11/2000Z. N0AA2 2909A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT FIVE -- TEAL 71
A. 12/0300,0600,0900Z
B. AFXXX 3009A IKE
C. 12/0015Z
D. 25.6N 91.4W
E. 12/0200Z TO 12/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT SIX -- NOAA 43 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 12/0800Z. NOAA3 3109A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT SEVEN -- TEAL 70
A. 12/1200,1500,1800Z
B. AFXXX 3209A IKE
C. 12/0930Z
D. 26.3N 93.2W
E. 12/1100Z TO 12/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES.
WP-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
NOUS42 KNHC 101400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT WED 10 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-102
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 73 WILL DEPART 11/1215Z FOR A BUOY
DROP MISSION IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. AFXXX 2609A
IKE. SFC TO 10,000
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 70
A. 11/1800,12/0000Z
B. AFXXX 2709A IKE
C. 11/1530Z
D. 25.2N 89.7W
E. 11/1700Z TO 12/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 49 WILL BE A SURVEILLANCE MISSION
DEPARTING 11/1730Z. NOAA9 2809A IKE. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 11/2000Z. N0AA2 2909A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT FIVE -- TEAL 71
A. 12/0300,0600,0900Z
B. AFXXX 3009A IKE
C. 12/0015Z
D. 25.6N 91.4W
E. 12/0200Z TO 12/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT SIX -- NOAA 43 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 12/0800Z. NOAA3 3109A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT SEVEN -- TEAL 70
A. 12/1200,1500,1800Z
B. AFXXX 3209A IKE
C. 12/0930Z
D. 26.3N 93.2W
E. 12/1100Z TO 12/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES.
WP-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Hurricane Ike Advisory #38
000
WTNT34 KNHC 101449
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008
...IKE GROWING IN SIZE AND STRENGTH IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES... 365 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 430 MILES... 690 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF IKE MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS... THE HURRICANE IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH WOULD TAKE IKE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND IKE COULD BE A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW.
IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COASTS OF CUBA AND IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTH COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR SO ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...23.9 N...85.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT34 KNHC 101449
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008
...IKE GROWING IN SIZE AND STRENGTH IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES... 365 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 430 MILES... 690 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF IKE MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS... THE HURRICANE IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH WOULD TAKE IKE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND IKE COULD BE A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW.
IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COASTS OF CUBA AND IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTH COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR SO ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...23.9 N...85.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Tuesday, September 09, 2008
Hurricane Ike Advisory #35
000
WTNT34 KNHC 092043
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008
...IKE EMERGES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED JUST OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...WEST- SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NOW THAT IKE HAS EMERGED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...22.9 N...83.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT34 KNHC 092043
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008
...IKE EMERGES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED JUST OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...WEST- SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NOW THAT IKE HAS EMERGED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...22.9 N...83.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Air Recon Taskings for September 10-11
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT TUE 09 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 10/1800,11/0000Z
B. AFXXX 2009A IKE
C. 10/1530Z
D. 24.2N 86.8W
E. 10/1700Z TO 11/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 11/0000Z
B. NOAA9 2109A IKE
C. 10/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
D. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 10/2000Z. N0AA2 2209A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 11/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 2309A IKE
C. 11/0345Z
D. 25.0N 88.5W
E. 11/0500Z TO 11/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 49
A. 11/1200Z
B. NOAA9 2409A IKE
C. 11/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT SIX -- NOAA 43 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 11/0800Z. NOAA3 2509A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 3-HRLY FIXES
BEGINNING AT 11/1500Z. A G-IV MISSION FOR 12/0000Z.
WP-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS. A BUOY DROP IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
NOUS42 KNHC 091400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT TUE 09 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 10/1800,11/0000Z
B. AFXXX 2009A IKE
C. 10/1530Z
D. 24.2N 86.8W
E. 10/1700Z TO 11/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 11/0000Z
B. NOAA9 2109A IKE
C. 10/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
D. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- NOAA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 10/2000Z. N0AA2 2209A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 11/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 2309A IKE
C. 11/0345Z
D. 25.0N 88.5W
E. 11/0500Z TO 11/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 49
A. 11/1200Z
B. NOAA9 2409A IKE
C. 11/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT SIX -- NOAA 43 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING 11/0800Z. NOAA3 2509A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 3-HRLY FIXES
BEGINNING AT 11/1500Z. A G-IV MISSION FOR 12/0000Z.
WP-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS. A BUOY DROP IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Monday, September 08, 2008
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT MON 08 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O9/1100Z TO 10/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-100
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 73
A. 09/1800,10/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1509A IKE
C. 08/1430Z
D. 22.4N 83.0W
E. 09/1700Z TO 10/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION DEPARTING 09/2000Z. N0AA2 1609A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 74
A. 10/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1709A IKE
C. 10/0300Z
D. 23.5N 84.4W
E. 10/0500Z TO 10/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 49
A. 10/1200Z
B. NOAA9 1809A IKE
C. 10/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 43 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION DEPARTING 10/0800Z. NOAA3 1909A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. G-IV
MISSIONS DEPARTING 10/1730Z AND 11/0530Z. WP-3 RESEARCH
MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
NOUS42 KNHC 081400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT MON 08 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O9/1100Z TO 10/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-100
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 73
A. 09/1800,10/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1509A IKE
C. 08/1430Z
D. 22.4N 83.0W
E. 09/1700Z TO 10/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION DEPARTING 09/2000Z. N0AA2 1609A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 74
A. 10/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1709A IKE
C. 10/0300Z
D. 23.5N 84.4W
E. 10/0500Z TO 10/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 49
A. 10/1200Z
B. NOAA9 1809A IKE
C. 10/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 43 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION DEPARTING 10/0800Z. NOAA3 1909A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. G-IV
MISSIONS DEPARTING 10/1730Z AND 11/0530Z. WP-3 RESEARCH
MISSIONS EVERY 12 HRS.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Hurricane Ike Advisory #31
000
WTNT34 KNHC 082056
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 31...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2008
...CORRECTION TO REMOVE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...
...IKE HUGGING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA...
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS AND RAGGED ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CIENFUEGOS CUBA AND ABOUT 215 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...BUT A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT...MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA TUESDAY...AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS EAST OF IKE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...21.4 N...79.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA
WTNT34 KNHC 082056
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 31...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2008
...CORRECTION TO REMOVE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...
...IKE HUGGING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA...
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS AND RAGGED ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CIENFUEGOS CUBA AND ABOUT 215 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...BUT A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT...MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA TUESDAY...AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS EAST OF IKE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...21.4 N...79.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA
Saturday, September 06, 2008
September 7-8 Air Recon Taskings
000
NOUS42 KNHC 061300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 06 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O7/1100Z TO 08/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-098
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 07/1800,08/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0909A IKE
C. 07/1500Z
D. 21.6N 74.1W
E. 07/1700Z TO 08/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 08/0000Z
B. NOAA9 1009A IKE
C. 07/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 72
A. 08/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1109A IKE
C. 08/0230Z
D. 21.8N 76.6W
E. 08/0500Z TO 08/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 49
A. 08/1200Z
B. NOAA9 1209A IKE
C. 08/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT
08/1500Z. A G-IV FOR 09/0000Z. A WP-3 AXBT DEPLOYMENT
AT 08/1600Z.
3. REMARKS: N0AA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING TISX AT 07/2000Z. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
NOUS42 KNHC 061300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 06 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O7/1100Z TO 08/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-098
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 07/1800,08/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0909A IKE
C. 07/1500Z
D. 21.6N 74.1W
E. 07/1700Z TO 08/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 08/0000Z
B. NOAA9 1009A IKE
C. 07/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 72
A. 08/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1109A IKE
C. 08/0230Z
D. 21.8N 76.6W
E. 08/0500Z TO 08/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 49
A. 08/1200Z
B. NOAA9 1209A IKE
C. 08/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT
08/1500Z. A G-IV FOR 09/0000Z. A WP-3 AXBT DEPLOYMENT
AT 08/1600Z.
3. REMARKS: N0AA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
DEPARTING TISX AT 07/2000Z. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Hurricane Ike Advisory #23
000
WTNT34 KNHC 062044
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM AST SAT SEP 06 2008
...IKE HEADING TOWARD THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH 135 MPH WINDS...
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM ...EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. IKE IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY...AND THEN MOVE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF EASTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THIS PERIOD.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 949 MB...28.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 13 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH TO THE OF THE CENTER OF IKE.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA COULD SEE 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.4 N...69.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN
WTNT34 KNHC 062044
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM AST SAT SEP 06 2008
...IKE HEADING TOWARD THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH 135 MPH WINDS...
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM ...EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. IKE IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY...AND THEN MOVE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF EASTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THIS PERIOD.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 949 MB...28.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 13 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH TO THE OF THE CENTER OF IKE.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA COULD SEE 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.4 N...69.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN
T.S. Hanna Advisory #40
000
WTNT33 KNHC 062032
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC... WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR JUST EAST OF CAMBRIDGE MARYLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND ABOUT 100 MILES... 155 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL CROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS EVENING...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING. THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM FROM THE CENTER. WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...87 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS... SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES FROM THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE REGIONS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...38.5 N...75.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT33 KNHC 062032
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC... WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR JUST EAST OF CAMBRIDGE MARYLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND ABOUT 100 MILES... 155 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL CROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS EVENING...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING. THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM FROM THE CENTER. WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...87 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS... SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES FROM THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE REGIONS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...38.5 N...75.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Friday, September 05, 2008
Scary Hurricane Ike Advisory #20
000
WTNT34 KNHC 060256
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 05 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE BAHAMAS...
AT 1100 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 11 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA... AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST OR ABOUT 360 MILES... 580 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A MORE WESTWARD MOTION BEGINNING SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...IKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE BAHAMAS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH TO THE OF THE CENTER OF IKE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...22.6 N...65.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
WTNT34 KNHC 060256
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 05 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE BAHAMAS...
AT 1100 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 11 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA... AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST OR ABOUT 360 MILES... 580 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A MORE WESTWARD MOTION BEGINNING SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...IKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE BAHAMAS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH TO THE OF THE CENTER OF IKE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...22.6 N...65.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
Important T.S. Hanna Advisory #37
000
WTNT33 KNHC 060255
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
...HANNA HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN A HURRY...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF EDISTO BEACH AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 140 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD BE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL AND HANNA SHOULD BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM BY EARLY SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM MAINLY TI THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...32.4 N...79.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
WTNT33 KNHC 060255
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
...HANNA HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN A HURRY...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF EDISTO BEACH AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 140 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD BE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL AND HANNA SHOULD BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM BY EARLY SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM MAINLY TI THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...32.4 N...79.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
New Hurricane Information Wiki
This was started for Gustav, but in this explosive season they've decided to continue it.
http://www.gustavwiki.com/wiki/Main_Page
http://www.gustavwiki.com/wiki/Main_Page
Air Recon Taskings for September 6-7 (All Ike)
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051430 AMD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT FRI 05 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O6/1100Z TO 07/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-097 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72.....NO CHANGE
A. 06/1800,07/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0409A IKE
C. 06/1530Z
D. 22.7N 68.1W
E. 06/1700Z TO 07/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49 ....NO CHANGE
A. 07/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0509A IKE
C. 06/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 74.....ADDED
A. 07/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0609A IKE
C. 06/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 24,000 TO 33,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 70.....CHANGED
A. 07/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0709A IKE....FLT NO ONLY CHANGE
C. 07/0330Z
D. 22.4N 70.6W
E. 07/0500Z TO 07/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 49......ADDED
A. 07/1200Z
B. NOAA9 0809A IKE
C. 07/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. A
G-IV FOR 08/0000Z. A WP-3 RESEARCH MISSION AT 07/2000Z
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
NOUS42 KNHC 051430 AMD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT FRI 05 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O6/1100Z TO 07/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-097 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72.....NO CHANGE
A. 06/1800,07/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0409A IKE
C. 06/1530Z
D. 22.7N 68.1W
E. 06/1700Z TO 07/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49 ....NO CHANGE
A. 07/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0509A IKE
C. 06/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 74.....ADDED
A. 07/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0609A IKE
C. 06/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 24,000 TO 33,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 70.....CHANGED
A. 07/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0709A IKE....FLT NO ONLY CHANGE
C. 07/0330Z
D. 22.4N 70.6W
E. 07/0500Z TO 07/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 49......ADDED
A. 07/1200Z
B. NOAA9 0809A IKE
C. 07/0530Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES. A
G-IV FOR 08/0000Z. A WP-3 RESEARCH MISSION AT 07/2000Z
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
T.S. Hanna Advisory #35A
000
WTNT33 KNHC 051747
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
...HANNA NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD...
A TROPICAL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY... INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PART OF THIS AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FARTHER EAST THAT EARLIER REPORTED. AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. NOAA BUOY 41010 REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 979.7 MB AS THE CENTER OF HANNA PASSED OVER IT A FEW HOURS AGO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA INTO CENTRAL VIRGINA...MARYLAND...AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND COASTAL GEORGIA. THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS HANNA ADVANCES NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THERE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...78.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT33 KNHC 051747
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
...HANNA NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD...
A TROPICAL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY... INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PART OF THIS AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FARTHER EAST THAT EARLIER REPORTED. AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. NOAA BUOY 41010 REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 979.7 MB AS THE CENTER OF HANNA PASSED OVER IT A FEW HOURS AGO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA INTO CENTRAL VIRGINA...MARYLAND...AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND COASTAL GEORGIA. THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS HANNA ADVANCES NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THERE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...78.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Air Recon Taskings for September 4-5
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT WED 03 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O4/1100Z TO 05/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-095
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM HANNA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 77
A. 04/1800,05/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0908A HANNA
C. 04/1350Z
D. 24.3N 74.2W
E. 04/1700Z TO 05/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 05/0000Z
B. NOAA9 1008A HANNA
C. 04/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 78
A. 05/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1108A HANNA
C. 05/0145Z
D. 26.1N 76.1W
E. 05/0500Z TO 05/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 3-HRLY FIXES ON
HANNA BEGINNING AT 05/1500Z. START 12-HRLY FIXES ON
T.S.IKE AT 05/1800Z. NOAA WP-3'S WILL BEGIN RESEARCH
MISSIONS INTO IKE EVERY 12 HRS BEGINNING 05/0800Z.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT THU 04 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O5/1100Z TO 06/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-096
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM HANNA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 75
A. 05/1500,1800,2100Z
B. AFXXX 1108A HANNA
C. 05/1200Z
D. 29.6N 77.9W
E. 05/1400Z TO 05/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 76
A. 06/0000,0300,0600Z
B. AFXXX 1208A HANNA
C. 05/2100Z
D. 31.9N 78.4W
E. 05/2300Z TO 06/0600Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 77
A. 06/0900,1200,1500Z
B. AFXXX 1308A HANNA
C. 06/0600Z
D. 33.5N 78.4W
E. 08/0800Z TO 06/1500Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 43 DEPART AT 05/0800A FOR A
RESEARCH MISSION 0109A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 70
A. 05/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0209A IKE
C. 05/1530Z
D. 24.0N 62.6W
E. 05/1700Z TO 05/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGT THREE -- NOAA 42 DEPART AT 05/2000Z FOR A
RESEARCH MISSION 0309A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 06/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0409A IKE
C. 06/0400Z
D. 23.4N 64.9W
E. 06/0500Z TO 06/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 43 DEPART AT 06/0900Z FOR A
RESEARCH MISSION 0509A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NEGATIVE ON HANNA.
BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON HURRICANE IKE AT 06/1800Z. A G-IV
MISSION FOR 07/0000Z. NOAA WP-3'S CONTINUE RESEARCH
MISSIONS INTO IKE EVERY 12 HRS.
4. REMARKS: G-IV MISSION WITH 04/1730Z T.O.CANCELED.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
NOUS42 KNHC 031500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT WED 03 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O4/1100Z TO 05/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-095
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM HANNA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 77
A. 04/1800,05/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0908A HANNA
C. 04/1350Z
D. 24.3N 74.2W
E. 04/1700Z TO 05/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
A. 05/0000Z
B. NOAA9 1008A HANNA
C. 04/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 78
A. 05/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 1108A HANNA
C. 05/0145Z
D. 26.1N 76.1W
E. 05/0500Z TO 05/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 3-HRLY FIXES ON
HANNA BEGINNING AT 05/1500Z. START 12-HRLY FIXES ON
T.S.IKE AT 05/1800Z. NOAA WP-3'S WILL BEGIN RESEARCH
MISSIONS INTO IKE EVERY 12 HRS BEGINNING 05/0800Z.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT THU 04 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID O5/1100Z TO 06/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-096
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM HANNA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 75
A. 05/1500,1800,2100Z
B. AFXXX 1108A HANNA
C. 05/1200Z
D. 29.6N 77.9W
E. 05/1400Z TO 05/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 76
A. 06/0000,0300,0600Z
B. AFXXX 1208A HANNA
C. 05/2100Z
D. 31.9N 78.4W
E. 05/2300Z TO 06/0600Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 77
A. 06/0900,1200,1500Z
B. AFXXX 1308A HANNA
C. 06/0600Z
D. 33.5N 78.4W
E. 08/0800Z TO 06/1500Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. HURRICANE IKE
FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 43 DEPART AT 05/0800A FOR A
RESEARCH MISSION 0109A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 70
A. 05/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0209A IKE
C. 05/1530Z
D. 24.0N 62.6W
E. 05/1700Z TO 05/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGT THREE -- NOAA 42 DEPART AT 05/2000Z FOR A
RESEARCH MISSION 0309A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT
FLIGHT FOUR -- TEAL 71
A. 06/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0409A IKE
C. 06/0400Z
D. 23.4N 64.9W
E. 06/0500Z TO 06/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE -- NOAA 43 DEPART AT 06/0900Z FOR A
RESEARCH MISSION 0509A IKE. SFC TO 8,000 FT.
3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NEGATIVE ON HANNA.
BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON HURRICANE IKE AT 06/1800Z. A G-IV
MISSION FOR 07/0000Z. NOAA WP-3'S CONTINUE RESEARCH
MISSIONS INTO IKE EVERY 12 HRS.
4. REMARKS: G-IV MISSION WITH 04/1730Z T.O.CANCELED.
11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
T.S. Hanna Advisory #31A
000
WTNT33 KNHC 041916
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008
CORRECTED FOR TIME IN LOCATION PARAGRAPH
...HANNA MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...EAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 670 MILES...1080 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY...HOWEVER... HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...25.1 N...74.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT33 KNHC 041916
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008
CORRECTED FOR TIME IN LOCATION PARAGRAPH
...HANNA MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...EAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 670 MILES...1080 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY...HOWEVER... HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...25.1 N...74.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
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