Wednesday, August 20, 2008

T.S. Fay Advisory #20

000
WTNT31 KNHC 201444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY DRIFTING NORTHWARD DRENCHING PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FORT PIERCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF NEAR 16 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT SATELLITE BEACH JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...28.6 N...80.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA