Tuesday, September 02, 2008

T.D. Gustav Advisory #36

[Advisories for this inland storm are now being issued by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center in Camp Springs, MD.]

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 36 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
1000 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA AND
CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 21Z/4 PM CDT.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT OVER ADJACENT NORTHEAST TEXAS... SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

AT 1000 AM CDT...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 AM CDT


...ALABAMA...

SARALAND 1.4 E 7.62 COCORAHS
TILLMANS CORNER 6.4 WNW 6.25 COCORAHS
FAIRHOPE 1.4 W 6.04 COCORAHS
FOLEY 7.4 SW 5.84 COCORAHS
MOBILE (BFM BROOKLEY FIELD) 3.10
MOBILE (MOB) 2.22

...MISSISSIPPI...

JOURDAN RIVER NEAR BAY ST LOUIS MS 5.57 USGS GAUGE
MCCOMB 4.88
PASCAGOULA 4.61
LEAF RIVER NEAR NEW AUGUSTA MS 4.44 USGS GAUGE
CARRIERE 3.2 SSW 4.23 COCORAHS
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.01
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE 3.86 COCORAHS
HATTIESBURG 3.48
LAUREL 2.89

...LOUISIANA...

LITTLE RIVER NEAR ROCHELLE LA 6.44 USGS GAUGE
BOGUE CHITTO RIVER AT FRANKLINTON LA 6.23 USGS GAUGE
ALEXANDRIA 4.97
LAFAYETTE MSG DATA MON 21Z-00Z TUE 4.31
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE 3.81 COCORAHS
MONROE (MLU) 3.52
MONROE 2.4 WNW 3.34 COCORAHS
FORT POLK 2.74
BATON ROUGE 2.67
NEW ORLEANS NAS 2.44

...FLORIDA...

HAINES CITY 3.3 SSW 3.42 COCORAHS
POLK CITY 1.1 S 3.05
PENSACOLA NAS 3.05
DESTIN 2.08
MARATHON 2.04

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FIVE TO TEN INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM OF FIFTEEN INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI. FOUR TO SIX INCHES WITH A MAXIMUM OF EIGHT INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...32.4 N...93.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER PETERSEN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 02/1500Z 32.4N 93.7W
12HR VT 03/0000Z 32.9N 94.0W
24HR VT 03/1200Z 33.4N 94.0W
36HR VT 04/0000Z 34.5N 93.9W
48HR VT 04/1200Z 36.5N 92.8W
72HR VT 05/1200Z DISSIPATED