[Advisories for this inland storm are now being issued by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center in Camp Springs, MD.]
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 36 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
1000 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008
...GUSTAV MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA AND
CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 21Z/4 PM CDT.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT OVER ADJACENT NORTHEAST TEXAS... SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
AT 1000 AM CDT...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA.
THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 AM CDT
...ALABAMA...
SARALAND 1.4 E 7.62 COCORAHS
TILLMANS CORNER 6.4 WNW 6.25 COCORAHS
FAIRHOPE 1.4 W 6.04 COCORAHS
FOLEY 7.4 SW 5.84 COCORAHS
MOBILE (BFM BROOKLEY FIELD) 3.10
MOBILE (MOB) 2.22
...MISSISSIPPI...
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR BAY ST LOUIS MS 5.57 USGS GAUGE
MCCOMB 4.88
PASCAGOULA 4.61
LEAF RIVER NEAR NEW AUGUSTA MS 4.44 USGS GAUGE
CARRIERE 3.2 SSW 4.23 COCORAHS
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.01
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE 3.86 COCORAHS
HATTIESBURG 3.48
LAUREL 2.89
...LOUISIANA...
LITTLE RIVER NEAR ROCHELLE LA 6.44 USGS GAUGE
BOGUE CHITTO RIVER AT FRANKLINTON LA 6.23 USGS GAUGE
ALEXANDRIA 4.97
LAFAYETTE MSG DATA MON 21Z-00Z TUE 4.31
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE 3.81 COCORAHS
MONROE (MLU) 3.52
MONROE 2.4 WNW 3.34 COCORAHS
FORT POLK 2.74
BATON ROUGE 2.67
NEW ORLEANS NAS 2.44
...FLORIDA...
HAINES CITY 3.3 SSW 3.42 COCORAHS
POLK CITY 1.1 S 3.05
PENSACOLA NAS 3.05
DESTIN 2.08
MARATHON 2.04
STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FIVE TO TEN INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM OF FIFTEEN INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI. FOUR TO SIX INCHES WITH A MAXIMUM OF EIGHT INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...32.4 N...93.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
FORECASTER PETERSEN
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 02/1500Z 32.4N 93.7W
12HR VT 03/0000Z 32.9N 94.0W
24HR VT 03/1200Z 33.4N 94.0W
36HR VT 04/0000Z 34.5N 93.9W
48HR VT 04/1200Z 36.5N 92.8W
72HR VT 05/1200Z DISSIPATED
Showing posts with label gustav. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gustav. Show all posts
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
Monday, September 01, 2008
First COTHEN Activity
8912.0
D48, USCG, raised D31 at 2054, went to USB voice (callsign "3100") for hurricane related traffic regarding Biloxi and New Orleans, back to scan at 2056. D31/3100 voice comm with EST at 2228. USCG/CBP P-3s.
D48, sounding on 5732, 7527, 8912, 10242, 11494 and 15867, all USB ALE at 2125-2126.
11494.0
EST, US Customs Eastern communication remote, Link Quality Assessment with D31 at 2131.
10242.0
701, possible USCG HC-130H7 Coast Guard 1701, ALE sounding at 2138.
501, possible USCG HC-130H Coast Guard 1501, ALE sounding at 2145. Could also be a character hit on CG1701.
11494.0
TSC, US Customs Technical Service Center, FL, LQA with CG701 at 2151.
10242.0
D31 working EST, USB ALE and voice, no copy on the voice, at 2213.
D48, USCG, raised D31 at 2054, went to USB voice (callsign "3100") for hurricane related traffic regarding Biloxi and New Orleans, back to scan at 2056. D31/3100 voice comm with EST at 2228. USCG/CBP P-3s.
D48, sounding on 5732, 7527, 8912, 10242, 11494 and 15867, all USB ALE at 2125-2126.
11494.0
EST, US Customs Eastern communication remote, Link Quality Assessment with D31 at 2131.
10242.0
701, possible USCG HC-130H7 Coast Guard 1701, ALE sounding at 2138.
501, possible USCG HC-130H Coast Guard 1501, ALE sounding at 2145. Could also be a character hit on CG1701.
11494.0
TSC, US Customs Technical Service Center, FL, LQA with CG701 at 2151.
10242.0
D31 working EST, USB ALE and voice, no copy on the voice, at 2213.
First Federal Storm Relief Logs
5153.5 kHz USB is an unknown MARS net. 10493.0 USB and LSB are FEMA National Emergency Coordinating Net. Conditions are normal for this time of year, in other words wretched, and none of this is currently making it to The Land That Short Wave Forgot.
It's probably worth monitoring 14325.0 USB, the amateur Hurricane Watch Net, though that one too is only computer QRM here. Ahhh, hurricane season. Back to COTHEN I go.
Anyone else who's into ALE might consider COTHEN (Customs Over-The-Horizon Enforcement Network) for post-storm rescue operations. It was busy after Katrina. Freqs (all USB, ALE then follow-on in clear or secure voice) are:
5732
7527
8912
10242
11494
13907
15867
18594
20890
23214
25350
so far just routine soundings by Idaho xx (FBI drug interdiction) aircraft not connected with Gustav.
It's probably worth monitoring 14325.0 USB, the amateur Hurricane Watch Net, though that one too is only computer QRM here. Ahhh, hurricane season. Back to COTHEN I go.
Anyone else who's into ALE might consider COTHEN (Customs Over-The-Horizon Enforcement Network) for post-storm rescue operations. It was busy after Katrina. Freqs (all USB, ALE then follow-on in clear or secure voice) are:
5732
7527
8912
10242
11494
13907
15867
18594
20890
23214
25350
so far just routine soundings by Idaho xx (FBI drug interdiction) aircraft not connected with Gustav.
Hurricane Gustav Advisory #32B
000
WTNT32 KNHC 011855
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008
...GUSTAV WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE...CENTER APPROACHING NEW IBERIA AND LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST OR JUST NORTHEAST OF FRANKLIN LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...145 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...80 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NEW IBERIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 75 MPH...121 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.26 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY.
REPEATING THE 200 PM CDT POSITION...29.9 N...91.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT32 KNHC 011855
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008
...GUSTAV WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE...CENTER APPROACHING NEW IBERIA AND LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST OR JUST NORTHEAST OF FRANKLIN LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...145 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...80 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NEW IBERIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 75 MPH...121 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.26 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY.
REPEATING THE 200 PM CDT POSITION...29.9 N...91.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Sunday, August 31, 2008
Hurricane Gustav Forecast/Advisory #30
000
WTNT22 KNHC 010251
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
0300 UTC MON SEP 01 2008
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 88.1W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. 34 KT.......190NE 175SE 140SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 250SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 88.1W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 87.7W
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.6N 89.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 175SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.1N 91.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 175SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.8N 94.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.0N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.0N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N 96.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 88.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT22 KNHC 010251
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
0300 UTC MON SEP 01 2008
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 88.1W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. 34 KT.......190NE 175SE 140SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 250SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 88.1W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 87.7W
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.6N 89.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 175SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.1N 91.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 175SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.8N 94.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.0N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.0N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N 96.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 88.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Hurricane Gustav Advisory #30A
000
WTNT32 KNHC 010555
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
100 AM CDT MON SEP 01 2008
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AS GUSTAV NEARS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES... 275 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 255 MILES...410 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT FOURCHON ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WOULD REACH THE LOUISIANA COAST BY MIDDAY TODAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BY TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES...350 KM. BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 50 MPH...80 KM/HR.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY.
REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...27.8 N...88.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
WTNT32 KNHC 010555
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
100 AM CDT MON SEP 01 2008
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AS GUSTAV NEARS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES... 275 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 255 MILES...410 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT FOURCHON ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WOULD REACH THE LOUISIANA COAST BY MIDDAY TODAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BY TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES...350 KM. BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 50 MPH...80 KM/HR.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY.
REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...27.8 N...88.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
Hurricane Gustav Advisory #29
000
WTNT32 KNHC 312039
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE DRY TORTUGAS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.4 N...87.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT32 KNHC 312039
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE DRY TORTUGAS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.4 N...87.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
New Orleans Emergency: Here We Go Again?
Reuters:
New Orleans considers evacuation as Gustav looms
Wed Aug 27, 2008 6:20pm EDT
By Kathy Finn
NEW ORLEANS, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Three years after Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Louisiana coast, New Orleans residents on Wednesday again faced the prospect of an evacuation as Tropical Storm Gustav loomed.
...
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal put New Orleans residents on alert, saying evacuations could begin as early as Friday.
City officials said New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin would order an evacuation if Gustav looked likely to come ashore with wind speeds over 111 miles per hour (178 kph) -- a Category 3 hurricane or higher on the 5-step Saffir-Simpson scale.
...
Jindal said he had activated the state's catastrophic action team and could declare a state of emergency as early as Thursday. He also has put the Louisiana National Guard on alert.
New Orleans considers evacuation as Gustav looms
Wed Aug 27, 2008 6:20pm EDT
By Kathy Finn
NEW ORLEANS, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Three years after Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Louisiana coast, New Orleans residents on Wednesday again faced the prospect of an evacuation as Tropical Storm Gustav loomed.
...
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal put New Orleans residents on alert, saying evacuations could begin as early as Friday.
City officials said New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin would order an evacuation if Gustav looked likely to come ashore with wind speeds over 111 miles per hour (178 kph) -- a Category 3 hurricane or higher on the 5-step Saffir-Simpson scale.
...
Jindal said he had activated the state's catastrophic action team and could declare a state of emergency as early as Thursday. He also has put the Louisiana National Guard on alert.
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